MaplePolls
Premier Approval
Danielle Smith
UCP
39%
Approve
56%
Disapprove
Fieldwork: May 7 – May 11, 2026 · Source: Angus Reid Institute
Alberta Rolling Average
Average of 1 polls · ±4.6 pts aggregate margin · as of Jun 1
Limited recent polling — based on 1 poll(s), most recent Jun 13, 2026. Interpret with caution.
UCP
48.0%
UCP +3.0 pts
Alberta NDP
45.0%
UCP
= 0.0
ABNDP
= 0.0
Current polling averages — Alberta
PartySupport %7-day change
UCP48.0%0.0
Alberta NDP45.0%0.0
Analysis

The United Conservative Party holds a narrow lead in Alberta, sitting at 48.0% against the Alberta NDP at 45.0%.

Neither party has shown movement over the past seven days, with both the UCP trend at 0.0 and the NDP trend at 0.0 points this week.

The gap between the two parties has remained steady across the two most recent polls, keeping this race close. The Alberta NDP trail by only 48.0 − 45.0 points, a margin that signals a competitive provincial contest.

Only two polls with complete figures are available in the current dataset, and the most recent Mainstreet Research survey from March 2026 is missing results, so the rolling average rests on a limited base. Readers should treat these figures with some caution until additional polling firms weigh in.

Latest poll:
This week
No new polls this week
Average stands on polls through Jun 1
Voter Priorities
Alberta Independence
as of Feb 25, 2026 · n=1,000 · MoE ±3.1pp · Abacus Data
Do you agree or disagree that the province of Alberta shall become a sovereign country and cease to be a province in Canada?
Support
26.0%
Oppose
64.0%
Undecided
9.0%
Abacus Data
Alberta Independence — Abacus Data (Feb 25, 2026)
SupportOpposeUndecided
26.0%64.0%9.0%
Recent PollsAlberta
Jun 1Ipsos
n=600 · MoE ±4.9
UCP 48.0ABNDP 45.0

MoE = margin of error as reported by the pollster; blank where the pollster does not report one.

Named parties only; rows may not sum to 100 where the pollster reports undecided or other.

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© MaplePolls 2026 — Data from Canadian pollsters
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