Methodology

This page lays out exactly how MaplePolls produces its rolling polling average and editorial summaries. It mirrors the content of the in-app methodology modal, accessible as a standalone, crawlable page so it can be linked, cited, and indexed.

Weighted Average

Our rolling average gives more weight to recent polls and larger sample sizes. A 2,500-person poll from yesterday counts more than a 1,000-person poll from 3 weeks ago.

Data Sources

We collect polls published by Abacus Data, Léger, Angus Reid, Mainstreet, Nanos, EKOS, Forum, Ipsos, Research Co., and other Canadian pollsters. Every poll links back to its original source.

Automated Analysis

The plain-language summaries are automatically generated by artificial intelligence based strictly on the polling data. They express no editorial opinion and are purely factual. MaplePolls is not affiliated with any political party.

Limitations

Polls measure opinion at a point in time. They are not predictions. Margins of error vary by pollster and sample size. Seat projections are simplified estimates, not riding-level models.

Pollster attribution and reuse

Polling figures — party support percentages, sample sizes, field dates, and margins of error — are facts used here for news-reporting and analysis. Each poll on the Recent Polls list and each contribution to the rolling average is attributed by pollster name with a link to the original publication, so readers can verify the figures and read the pollster's own methodology.

Original poll reports — including pollsters' charts, infographics, written analysis, and tables — remain the property of their respective pollsters and are linked from each entry, never reproduced on this site. MaplePolls stores only numeric and factual fields (party percentages, sample size, field dates, margin of error, jurisdiction) and the source URL.

Angus Reid Institute: their published opinion-poll data is used here on the standard news-reporting basis, with the Institute named as the source on every figure drawn from their polling. MaplePolls does not imply that Angus Reid endorses any policy, party, or position.

Government of Canada news items (Prime Minister of Canada, named federal departments, the Bank of Canada, and any other federal-government feed surfaced on this site) are used on the same news-reporting / fair-dealing basis as the rest of the site: headline + short excerpt + link to the original release, never full text. Each item is attributed by its publishing source — for departmental releases, '[Department] — Government of Canada'; for Bank of Canada releases, simply 'Bank of Canada'. MaplePolls is independent and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by the Government of Canada or the Bank of Canada (see bankofcanada.ca/terms for the Bank's terms of use).

Image credits

Leader photographs on the Federal dashboard are sourced from Wikimedia Commons. Each photo is credited below with its photographer, license, and a link to the original file. We acknowledge the photographers whose work is used here; the licenses listed apply to each individual photo, not to MaplePolls' own content.

  • Mark Carney — Photo: Lea-Kim. Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0. Source: Wikimedia Commons. CC BY-SA 4.0 deed · View on Commons
  • Pierre Poilievre — Photo: Humberland. Released under CC0 1.0 (public-domain dedication). Source: Wikimedia Commons. CC0 1.0 deed · View on Commons · This image has been cropped or edited from the original.
  • Avi Lewis — Photo: DrOwl19. Released under CC0 1.0 (public-domain dedication). Source: Wikimedia Commons. CC0 1.0 deed · View on Commons
Keep MaplePolls free and independent
Your support keeps the data flowing, the analysis sharp, and the ads away.
Support on Patreon
Get the numbers every Saturday
Federal standings, poll-by-poll breakdowns, and AI analysis — free in your inbox.
Newsletter language
© MaplePolls 2026 — Data from Canadian pollsters
Not affiliated with any political party